2011-4-13 09:06
bunnylai
實戰理論 [沈振盈] 2011 04 13 [轉載]
[size=3][color=#0000ff][b]借勢調整後市升勢未改[/b][/color][/size]
[size=3][color=#0000ff][/color][/size]
日本再一次出現 6級以上的餘震，加上今次的核洩漏危機級別上調為 7級，市場頓時出現恐慌，股市亦應聲下跌。港股方面，往往反應特別敏感，恒指的跌幅亦較大，無他，這純粹是衍生工具殺倉的因素。
恒指自 3月中低位 22123，反彈至上周五的 24468，升幅已逾 2300點，調整也是正常的，只是苦無藉口而已，今次藉日本天災人禍的續集，自然可以借勢完成技術調整，對後市的走勢來說，會更為健康。估計今次的調整震盪會維持一兩天，恒指初步支持位 23800至 23900，若有更壞消息，相信也應可守得住 23500關口。
今次的震盪，可以給予大家一次重整組合的機會，方式有兩個。首先，就是一些早前的強勢股，累積升幅已大，可趁機將部份獲利，轉而吸納一些股價仍落後的股份。
企穩 24200可望再升
第二種做法，就是將一些質素與基本因素較差的股份（此等股份已差不多是沒有太大回升希望的），換入一些基本因素較佳的股份。
投資股票不能胡亂作長線持有，若然股份本身有價值、有前景的話，才值得長揸。一些只是炒概念，兼且已經中伏而蟹貨重重的股份，切忌因輸錢而不捨得沽，結果短炒變長揸。
由於 4月份的期指仍是好倉主導，大戶尚未反手，在結算前持貨仍然安全，除非這兩天的倉底有大變。相信大市作出適當調整後，未來兩天消化完短暫的獲利盤及日本危機的影響，恒指仍有望再上衝多一次，挑戰 25000關。
昨日的期指在跌市之中，大部份時間都維持着高水狀態，這其實是一個正面的訊號，反映期指的買盤頗積極，後市毋須看得太淡，只要指數能企穩於 24200之上，應可重納升軌。
來源 :HK Portal
2011-5-5 21:12
r900947529
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